Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.876905 2.039510 2.212552 2.410885 2.632502 2.873175 3.155200
2025-11-16 1.607614 1.825455 2.070784 2.369282 2.725006 3.138293 3.659095
2025-11-23 1.447158 1.695628 1.987112 2.357748 2.821441 3.389066 4.146962
2025-11-30 1.362397 1.638287 1.973150 2.415184 2.991954 3.731338 4.771574
2025-12-07 1.265045 1.552959 1.912090 2.400805 3.061027 3.940855 5.235501
2025-12-14 1.179857 1.474081 1.849766 2.374682 3.105791 4.114378 5.660244
2025-12-21 1.085890 1.376031 1.753583 2.292618 3.062588 4.156017 5.891098
2025-12-28 1.036424 1.332740 1.725991 2.300302 3.142926 4.377347 6.411669
2026-01-04 0.998781 1.302306 1.712746 2.325359 3.247874 4.641348 7.026283
2026-01-11 0.966283 1.276434 1.703295 2.353725 3.357934 4.920559 7.696574
2026-01-18 0.935318 1.250508 1.691476 2.376554 3.459547 5.193433 8.387455
2026-01-25 0.899990 1.216163 1.664993 2.374482 3.520240 5.402896 8.989381
2026-02-01 0.850027 1.158918 1.602793 2.314793 3.485655 5.452969 9.311813
2026-02-08 0.812392 1.117873 1.562455 2.286591 3.500401 5.588871 9.816316
2026-02-15 0.782541 1.086787 1.535244 2.277082 3.545013 5.780491 10.456287
2026-02-22 0.770760 1.082018 1.547704 2.332222 3.704505 6.195975 11.619808
2026-03-01 0.743601 1.052487 1.519917 2.318498 3.740680 6.382759 12.320240
2026-03-08 0.715784 1.020665 1.486830 2.293516 3.754034 6.525768 12.943388
2026-03-15 0.678059 0.971940 1.424578 2.215001 3.663013 6.453392 13.055711
2026-03-22 0.660987 0.954853 1.412413 2.222355 3.732616 6.711250 13.997004
2026-03-29 0.648325 0.944136 1.409960 2.246331 3.835239 7.047294 15.190687
2026-04-05 0.636953 0.934940 1.409442 2.273469 3.945753 7.411484 16.525973
2026-04-12 0.625137 0.924490 1.406231 2.295308 4.047150 7.766501 17.907686